TY - JOUR

T1 - On the generalization of the hazard rate twisting-based simulation approach

AU - Rached, Nadhir B.

AU - Benkhelifa, Fatma

AU - Kammoun, Abla

AU - Alouini, Mohamed-Slim

AU - Tempone, Raul

N1 - KAUST Repository Item: Exported on 2020-10-01

PY - 2016/11/16

Y1 - 2016/11/16

N2 - Estimating the probability that a sum of random variables (RVs) exceeds a given threshold is a well-known challenging problem. A naive Monte Carlo simulation is the standard technique for the estimation of this type of probability. However, this approach is computationally expensive, especially when dealing with rare events. An alternative approach is represented by the use of variance reduction techniques, known for their efficiency in requiring less computations for achieving the same accuracy requirement. Most of these methods have thus far been proposed to deal with specific settings under which the RVs belong to particular classes of distributions. In this paper, we propose a generalization of the well-known hazard rate twisting Importance Sampling-based approach that presents the advantage of being logarithmic efficient for arbitrary sums of RVs. The wide scope of applicability of the proposed method is mainly due to our particular way of selecting the twisting parameter. It is worth observing that this interesting feature is rarely satisfied by variance reduction algorithms whose performances were only proven under some restrictive assumptions. It comes along with a good efficiency, illustrated by some selected simulation results comparing the performance of the proposed method with some existing techniques.

AB - Estimating the probability that a sum of random variables (RVs) exceeds a given threshold is a well-known challenging problem. A naive Monte Carlo simulation is the standard technique for the estimation of this type of probability. However, this approach is computationally expensive, especially when dealing with rare events. An alternative approach is represented by the use of variance reduction techniques, known for their efficiency in requiring less computations for achieving the same accuracy requirement. Most of these methods have thus far been proposed to deal with specific settings under which the RVs belong to particular classes of distributions. In this paper, we propose a generalization of the well-known hazard rate twisting Importance Sampling-based approach that presents the advantage of being logarithmic efficient for arbitrary sums of RVs. The wide scope of applicability of the proposed method is mainly due to our particular way of selecting the twisting parameter. It is worth observing that this interesting feature is rarely satisfied by variance reduction algorithms whose performances were only proven under some restrictive assumptions. It comes along with a good efficiency, illustrated by some selected simulation results comparing the performance of the proposed method with some existing techniques.

UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10754/622227

UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11222-016-9716-4

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84995449842&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1007/s11222-016-9716-4

DO - 10.1007/s11222-016-9716-4

M3 - Article

SN - 0960-3174

VL - 28

SP - 61

EP - 75

JO - Statistics and Computing

JF - Statistics and Computing

IS - 1

ER -