Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study

Benn Sartorius, John D VanderHeide, Mingyou Yang, Erik A Goosmann, Julia Hon, Emily Haeuser, Michael A Cork, Samantha Perkins, Deepa Jahagirdar, Lauren E Schaeffer, Audrey L Serfes, Kate E LeGrand, Hedayat Abbastabar, Zeleke Hailemariam Abebo, Akine Eshete Abosetugn, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi, Oladimeji M Adebayo, Adeyinka Emmanuel Adegbosin, Victor AdekanmbiOlatunji O Adetokunboh, Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Keivan Ahmadi, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Yonas Akalu, Oluwaseun Oladapo Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akinyemi, Addis Aklilu, Chisom Joyqueenet Akunna, Fares Alahdab, Ziyad Al-Aly, Noore Alam, Alehegn Aderaw Alamneh, Turki M Alanzi, Biresaw Wassihun Alemu, Robert Kaba Alhassan, Tilahun Ali, Vahid Alipour, Saeed Amini, Robert Ancuceanu, Fereshteh Ansari, Zelalem Alamrew Anteneh, Davood Anvari, Razique Anwer, Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah, Jalal Arabloo, Mulusew A Asemahagn, Mohammad Asghari Jafarabadi, Wondwossen Niguse Asmare, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Maha Moh'd Wahbi Atout, Alok Atreya, Marcel Ausloos, Atalel Fentahun Awedew, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Yared Asmare Aynalem, Muluken Altaye Ayza, Samad Azari, Zelalem Nigussie Azene, Zaheer-Ud-Din Babar, Atif Amin Baig, Senthilkumar Balakrishnan, Maciej Banach, Till Winfried Bärnighausen, Sanjay Basu, Mohsen Bayati, Neeraj Bedi, Tariku Tesfaye Bekuma, Woldesellassie M Mequanint Bezabhe, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Sadia Bibi, Boris Bikbov, Tsegaye Adane Birhan, Zebenay Workneh Bitew, Moses John Bockarie, Archith Boloor, Oliver J Brady, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Andrey Nikolaevich Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Zahid A Butt, Rosario Cárdenas, Felix Carvalho, Jaykaran Charan, Souranshu Chatterjee, Soosanna Kumary Chattu, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir Chowdhury, Dinh-Toi Chu, Aubrey J Cook, Natalie Maria Cormier, Richard G Cowden, Carlos Culquichicon, Baye Dagnew, Saad M A Dahlawi, Giovanni Damiani, Parnaz Daneshpajouhnejad, Farah Daoud, Ahmad Daryani, José das Neves, Nicole Davis Weaver, Meseret Derbew Molla, Kebede Deribe, Abebaw Alemayehu Desta, Keshab Deuba, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Daniel Diaz, Shirin Djalalinia, Paul Narh Doku, Eleonora Dubljanin, Bereket Duko, Arielle Wilder Eagan, Lucas Earl, Jeffrey W Eaton, Andem Effiong, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Maha El Tantawi, Rajesh Elayedath, Shaimaa I El-Jaafary, Aisha Elsharkawy, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Oghenowede Eyawo, Sayeh Ezzikouri, Abidemi Omolara Fasanmi, Alebachew Fasil, Nelsensius Klau Fauk, Valery L Feigin, Tomas Y Ferede, Eduarda Fernandes, Florian Fischer, Nataliya A Foigt, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Masoud Foroutan, Joel Msafiri Francis, Takeshi Fukumoto, Mohamed M Gad, Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam, Birhan Gebresillassie Gebregiorgis, Berhe Gebremichael, Hailay Abrha Gesesew, Lemma Getacher, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Syed Amir Gilani, Themba G Ginindza, Mustefa Glagn, Mahaveer Golechha, Philimon N Gona, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, Harish Chander Gugnani, Davide Guido, Rashid Abdi Guled, Brian J Hall, Samer Hamidi, Demelash Woldeyohannes Handiso, Arief Hargono, Abdiwahab Hashi, Soheil Hassanipour, Hadi Hassankhani, Khezar Hayat, Claudiu Herteliu, Hagos Degefa de Hidru, Ramesh Holla, H Dean Hosgood, Naznin Hossain, Mostafa Hosseini, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mowafa Househ, Bing-Fang Hwang, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Irena M Ilic, Milena D Ilic, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Chidozie C D Iwu, Chinwe Juliana Iwu, Ihoghosa Osamuyi Iyamu, Vardhmaan Jain, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Farzad Jalilian, Ravi Prakash Jha, Kimberly B Johnson, Vasna Joshua, Farahnaz Joukar, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Ali Kabir, Leila R Kalankesh, Rohollah Kalhor, Ashwin Kamath, Naser Kamyari, Tanuj Kanchan, Behzad Karami Matin, André Karch, Salah Eddin Karimi, Ayele Semachew Kasa, Getinet Kassahun, Gbenga A Kayode, Ali Kazemi Karyani, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Bayew Kelkay, Nauman Khalid, Gulfaraz Khan, Junaid Khan, Md Nuruzzaman Khan, Khaled Khatab, Salman Khazaei, Yun Jin Kim, Adnan Kisa, Sezer Kisa, Sonali Kochhar, Jacek A Kopec, Soewarta Kosen, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane Laxminarayana, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Nuworza Kugbey, Vaman Kulkarni, Manasi Kumar, Nithin Kumar, Om P Kurmi, Dian Kusuma, Desmond Kuupiel, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Carlo La Vecchia, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Jennifer O Lam, Iván Landires, Savita Lasrado, Jeffrey V Lazarus, Alice Lazzar-Atwood, Paul H Lee, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Bingyu Li, Xuefeng Liu, Platon D Lopukhov, Hawraz Ibrahim M. Amin, Deepak Madi, Phetole Walter Mahasha, Azeem Majeed, Afshin Maleki, Shokofeh Maleki, Abdullah A Mamun, Navid Manafi, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi, Benjamin K Mayala, Birhanu Geta Meharie, Hailemariam Abiy Alemu Meheretu, Hagazi Gebre Meles, Mulugeta Melku, Walter Mendoza, Endalkachew Worku Mengesha, Tuomo J Meretoja, Abera M Mersha, Tomislav Mestrovic, Ted R Miller, Andreea Mirica, Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Osama Mohamad, Yousef Mohammad, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Jemal Abdu Mohammed, Salahuddin Mohammed, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H Mokdad, Taklu Marama Mokonnon, Mariam Molokhia, Masoud Moradi, Yousef Moradi, Rahmatollah Moradzadeh, Paula Moraga, Jonathan F Mosser, Sandra B Munro, Ghulam Mustafa, Saravanan Muthupandian, Mehdi Naderi, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Mohsen Naghavi, Muhammad Naveed, Vinod C Nayak, Javad Nazari, Rawlance Ndejjo, Samata Nepal, Henok Biresaw Netsere, Frida N Ngalesoni, Georges Nguefack-Tsague, Josephine W Ngunjiri, Yeshambel T Nigatu, Samuel Negash Nigussie, Chukwudi A Nnaji, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Virginia Nuñez-Samudio, Bogdan Oancea, Oluwakemi Ololade Odukoya, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Andrew T Olagunju, Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Muktar Omer Omer, Abidemi E Emmanuel Omonisi, Obinna E Onwujekwe, Orish Ebere Orisakwe, Nikita Otstavnov, Mayowa O Owolabi, Mahesh P A, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Smita Pakhale, Adrian Pana, Seithikurippu R Pandi-Perumal, Urvish K Patel, Mona Pathak, George C Patton, Shrikant Pawar, Emmanuel K Peprah, Khem Narayan Pokhrel, Maarten J Postma, Faheem Hyder Pottoo, Hadi Pourjafar, Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi, Zahiruddin Quazi Syed, Alireza Rafiei, Fakher Rahim, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Pradhum Ram, Juwel Rana, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Satish Rao, Sowmya J Rao, Priya Rathi, David Laith Rawaf, Salman Rawaf, Reza Rawassizadeh, Vishnu Renjith, Melese Abate Reta, Nima Rezaei, Aziz Rezapour, Ana Isabel Ribeiro, Jennifer M Ross, Susan Fred Rumisha, Rajesh Sagar, Maitreyi Sahu, S. Mohammad Sajadi, Marwa Rashad Salem, Abdallah M Samy, Brijesh Sathian, Aletta Elisabeth Schutte, Abdul-Aziz Seidu, Feng Sha, Omid Shafaat, Mohammad Shahbaz, Masood Ali Shaikh, Mohammed Feyisso Shaka, Aziz Sheikh, Kenji Shibuya, Jae Il Shin, K M Shivakumar, Negussie Boti Sidemo, Jasvinder A Singh, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, Amin Soheili, Shahin Soltani, Oluwaseyi Dolapo Somefun, Muluken Bekele Sorrie, Emma Elizabeth Spurlock, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Biruk Wogayehu Taddele, Eyayou Girma Tadesse, Zemenu Tamir, Animut Tagele Tamiru, Frank C Tanser, Nuno Taveira, Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi, Yohannes Tekalegn, Fisaha Haile Tesfay, Belay Tessema, Zemenu Tadesse Tessema, Bhaskar Thakur, Musliu Adetola Tolani, Roman Topor-Madry, Marco Torrado, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, Eugenio Traini, Alexander C Tsai, Gebiyaw Wudie Tsegaye, Irfan Ullah, Saif Ullah, Chukwuma David Umeokonkwo, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Constantine Vardavas, Francesco S Violante, Bay Vo, Yohannes Dibaba Wado, Yasir Waheed, Richard G Wamai, Yanzhong Wang, Paul Ward, Andrea Werdecker, Nuwan Darshana Wickramasinghe, Tissa Wijeratne, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Temesgen Gebeyehu Wondmeneh, Tomohide Yamada, Sanni Yaya, Yigizie Yeshaw, Yordanos Gizachew Yeshitila, Mekdes Tigistu Yilma, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Tewodros Yosef, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Syed Saoud Zaidi, Leila Zaki, Maryam Zamanian, Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin, Anasthasia Zastrozhina, Dejene Tesfaye Zewdie, Yunquan Zhang, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Arash Ziapour, Simon I Hay, Laura Dwyer-Lindgren

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

29 Scopus citations

Abstract

High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and assist with improving the precision and efficiency of targeting efforts. We aimed to assess HIV incidence and HIV mortality for all second-level administrative units across sub-Saharan Africa.
Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)e363-e375
Number of pages1
JournalThe Lancet HIV
Volume8
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2021

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Virology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology
  • Immunology

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