The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems

Michael T. Burrows; David S. Schoeman; Lauren B. Buckley; Pippa Moore; Elvira S. Poloczanska; Keith M. Brander; Chris Brown; John F. Bruno; Carlos M. Duarte; Benjamin S. Halpern; Johnna Holding; Carrie V. Kappel; Wolfgang Kiessling; Mary I. O'Connor; John M. Pandolfi; Camille Parmesan; Franklin B. Schwing; William J. Sydeman; Anthony J. Richardson

doi:10.1126/science.1210288

The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems

Michael T. Burrows^*, David S. Schoeman, Lauren B. Buckley, Pippa Moore, Elvira S. Poloczanska, Keith M. Brander, Chris Brown, John F. Bruno, Carlos M. Duarte, Benjamin S. Halpern, Johnna Holding, Carrie V. Kappel, Wolfgang Kiessling, Mary I. O'Connor, John M. Pandolfi, Camille Parmesan, Franklin B. Schwing, William J. Sydeman, Anthony J. Richardson

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

1033 Scopus citations

Abstract

Climate change challenges organisms to adapt or move to track changes in environments in space and time. We used two measures of thermal shifts from analyses of global temperatures over the past 50 years to describe the pace of climate change that species should track: the velocity of climate change (geographic shifts of isotherms over time) and the shift in seasonal timing of temperatures. Both measures are higher in the ocean than on land at some latitudes, despite slower ocean warming. These indices give a complex mosaic of predicted range shifts and phenology changes that deviate from simple poleward migration and earlier springs or later falls. They also emphasize potential conservation concerns, because areas of high marine biodiversity often have greater velocities of climate change and seasonal shifts.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	652-655
Number of pages	4
Journal	SCIENCE
Volume	334
Issue number	6056
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1210288
State	Published - Nov 4 2011
Externally published	Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1126/science.1210288

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Burrows, M. T., Schoeman, D. S., Buckley, L. B., Moore, P., Poloczanska, E. S., Brander, K. M., Brown, C., Bruno, J. F., Duarte, C. M., Halpern, B. S., Holding, J., Kappel, C. V., Kiessling, W., O'Connor, M. I., Pandolfi, J. M., Parmesan, C., Schwing, F. B., Sydeman, W. J., & Richardson, A. J. (2011). The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems. SCIENCE, 334(6056), 652-655. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1210288

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title = "The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems",

abstract = "Climate change challenges organisms to adapt or move to track changes in environments in space and time. We used two measures of thermal shifts from analyses of global temperatures over the past 50 years to describe the pace of climate change that species should track: the velocity of climate change (geographic shifts of isotherms over time) and the shift in seasonal timing of temperatures. Both measures are higher in the ocean than on land at some latitudes, despite slower ocean warming. These indices give a complex mosaic of predicted range shifts and phenology changes that deviate from simple poleward migration and earlier springs or later falls. They also emphasize potential conservation concerns, because areas of high marine biodiversity often have greater velocities of climate change and seasonal shifts.",

author = "Burrows, {Michael T.} and Schoeman, {David S.} and Buckley, {Lauren B.} and Pippa Moore and Poloczanska, {Elvira S.} and Brander, {Keith M.} and Chris Brown and Bruno, {John F.} and Duarte, {Carlos M.} and Halpern, {Benjamin S.} and Johnna Holding and Kappel, {Carrie V.} and Wolfgang Kiessling and O'Connor, {Mary I.} and Pandolfi, {John M.} and Camille Parmesan and Schwing, {Franklin B.} and Sydeman, {William J.} and Richardson, {Anthony J.}",

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Burrows, MT, Schoeman, DS, Buckley, LB, Moore, P, Poloczanska, ES, Brander, KM, Brown, C, Bruno, JF, Duarte, CM, Halpern, BS, Holding, J, Kappel, CV, Kiessling, W, O'Connor, MI, Pandolfi, JM, Parmesan, C, Schwing, FB, Sydeman, WJ & Richardson, AJ 2011, 'The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems', SCIENCE, vol. 334, no. 6056, pp. 652-655. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1210288

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AU - Brander, Keith M.

AU - Brown, Chris

AU - Bruno, John F.

AU - Duarte, Carlos M.

AU - Halpern, Benjamin S.

AU - Holding, Johnna

AU - Kappel, Carrie V.

AU - Kiessling, Wolfgang

AU - O'Connor, Mary I.

AU - Pandolfi, John M.

AU - Parmesan, Camille

AU - Schwing, Franklin B.

AU - Sydeman, William J.

AU - Richardson, Anthony J.

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AB - Climate change challenges organisms to adapt or move to track changes in environments in space and time. We used two measures of thermal shifts from analyses of global temperatures over the past 50 years to describe the pace of climate change that species should track: the velocity of climate change (geographic shifts of isotherms over time) and the shift in seasonal timing of temperatures. Both measures are higher in the ocean than on land at some latitudes, despite slower ocean warming. These indices give a complex mosaic of predicted range shifts and phenology changes that deviate from simple poleward migration and earlier springs or later falls. They also emphasize potential conservation concerns, because areas of high marine biodiversity often have greater velocities of climate change and seasonal shifts.

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The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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